November 7, 2025

Welcome to FDD Action’s Weekly NatSec Roundup.
π₯ FDD hosted an event on Wednesday, Containment Redux: Persian Gulf War Lessons from Iraq for U.S. Strategy Toward Iran, to examine the parallels between Iran in 2025 and Iraq after the First Persian Gulf War. FDD’s Behnam Ben Taleblu moderated a discussion with FDD Resident Scholar Reuel Marc Gerecht and Middle East Institute Vice President for Policy Kenneth M. Pollack, who served as NSC director for Persian Gulf affairs. They discussed how Washington’s mix of deterrence, sanctions, and diplomacy aims to recalibrate U.S. Iran policy while preventing a 2003 Iraq War-style outcome. Check out the event video and transcript here.
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President Trump greets Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the West Wing Lobby entrance of the White House, October 17, 2025. (Official White House Photo by Juliana Luz)
1. U.S.-Russian tensions escalate as Moscow saber-rattles with nuclear tests and Europe moves to defend its territory.
Will Ukraine get Tomahawks? The Pentagon last week approved sending long-range Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine, pending President Trump’s final green light. It’s unclear if that green light will be given since Trump signaled reluctance to do so in a meeting with Ukrainian President Zelensky at the White House last month, expressing caution over depleting U.S. stockpiles. However, the DOD reportedly came to the decision based on an assessment that sending Tomahawks to Ukraine would not negatively impact U.S. stockpiles. A Ukrainian official stated this week that “positive” discussions with the U.S. over Kyiv’s purchase of Tomahawks are ongoing.
Long-range missile for me, but not for thee: Russian President Putin has warned the U.S. against sending Ukraine the long-range missiles, which would allow for deeper strikes into Russia. Even as Moscow says Kyiv shouldn’t get long-range missiles, it is deploying new, longer-range bombs against Ukraine. As Moscow’s relentless barrages continue, FDD’s John Hardie unpacks the new weapons in the Kremlin’s arsenal and their potential implications for Ukraine. As Ukrainian troops and civilians prepare to contend with the new threat to critical infrastructure and military sites, the President should move quickly to approve the sale of Tomahawks to Ukraine. Read the full breakdown here.
Are nuclear tests back? As we covered last week, after Moscow tested a long-distance, nuclear-powered and nuclear-capable missile, Trump announced the U.S. would resume nuclear weapons tests. Now, Moscow is beginning preparations to restart nuclear tests. Putin directed security officials to draft plans for nuclear tests, but a lot still remains unclear. As tensions heat up, “Washington must justify the technical benefits of resuming low-level testing against risks to the global testing moratorium, including the potential for triggering full-scale testing worldwide and further proliferation of nuclear weapons,” warns FDD’s Andrea Stricker.
Europe rearms as Russia intrudes: As Russia demonstrates increasing aggression, sending armed drones and fighter jets over NATO territory, Poland is moving forward to protect its skies. The EU is also considering a “drone wall” to combat these airspace violations over Poland, Romania, and Estonia. Poland, for its part, plans to start building its own anti-drone system within months. Belgian PM Bart de Wever convened an emergency security meeting after a drone incursion shut down the Brussels airport Tuesday night. This incident follows drone sightings earlier this month, which were believed to be spying on Belgian military bases.
FYSA: The U.S. lifted sanctions on Belarus on Tuesday, including airline restrictions and Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko’s presidential jet. This action is part of an agreement between Washington and Minsk that saw the release of 52 political prisoners in September. Sanctions were imposed under the Biden administration for its fraudulent election in 2020 and support for Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

President Donald Trump talks with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the West Wing Lobby of the White House after his arrival, Monday, September 29, 2025. (Official White House Photo by Daniel Torok)
2. The Trump administration is pursuing a UN Security Council resolution to establish an international force in Gaza, but questions remain about which countries will contribute troops and what role Hamas’s supporters should play in the enclave’s future.
International force to stabilize Gaza goes to the UN: The U.S. reportedly sent UN Security Council member states a preliminary draft of a resolution establishing an International Stabilization Force (ISF) in Gaza. The draft will serve as a starting point for member states to negotiate the process of implementing the ISF in Gaza, in line with the U.S. peace plan. The proposed ISF would oversee the demilitarization of Gaza, including Hamas and other Palestinian terrorist organizations operating in the enclave. The force would also be tasked with protecting Gazan civilians, supporting humanitarian deliveries and logistical needs, and providing training to Palestinian Authority police officers stationed in Gaza.
Any volunteers? The draft’s formal submission is expected as early as next week, but questions remain regarding the willingness of countries to contribute troops. Jordan’s King Abdullah II said last week that it would be difficult for the U.S. to persuade countries to join the proposed force if it meant militarily confronting Hamas or enforcing a peace, saying “that’s not a situation that any country would like to get involved in.”
Hamas seeks new terms: A Hamas official suggested on Wednesday that the group may be willing to negotiate partial disarmament, saying it is “reasonable to discuss” laying down long-range weapons. Despite these comments, the terrorist chief clarified that negotiations for phase two of the ceasefire plan, which stipulates the complete disarmament of the group, had yet to begin.
Hold Hamas to its word: “Hamas and its allies will do their best to undermine and delay a UN resolution that would cement the terrorist group’s dismantlement,” cautions FDD’s David May. “Hamas borrows from the Middle Eastern autocrats’ playbook of agreeing to reforms and concessions when the temperature is high and reneging as soon as the pressure relaxes.” The U.S. and international partners must ensure Hamas is disarmed and disbanded as required by the ceasefire.
Turkey’s role in post-war Gaza: Turkey hosted a meeting of leading Islamic foreign ministers on Monday to discuss the future of the ceasefire, the humanitarian situation in Gaza, and the proposed ISF. After the meeting, Turkish Foreign Minister Fidan expressed the principle that “Palestinians should govern the Palestinians,” with support from the international community. Turkey’s President Erdogan, who has openly supported Hamas throughout the war in Gaza, called for Islamic nations to “play a leading role in the reconstruction of Gaza.” Fidan also met with a Hamas delegation over the weekend to discuss post-war Gaza.
Caution needed: The Trump administration, which involved Ankara as a mediator with Hamas to reach the ceasefire deal, has signaled that it believes “there’s a constructive role for the Turks to play” in Gaza. However, Israel opposes Turkey’s role in the future of Gaza due to Ankara’s belligerent stance toward it and its support of Hamas. Other U.S. allies, including Saudi Arabia and the UAE, reportedly expressed reservations about the inclusion of Turkey and Qatar, which has also actively supported Hamas. FDD Action’s Tyler Stapleton agrees. “The United States should remain skeptical of any security contributions from countries that are actively hosting Hamas leadership.“
Can Turkey’s allegiance be won by the West? Israel’s former defense minister and opposition leader, Benny Gantz, presented his “Israel’s Security Vision 2040” plan at FDD on Monday. It calls for bolstering Israel’s international alliances, reinvesting in its defense infrastructure, and defanging Iran. In Gantz’s opinion, cooperation with Turkey is not a “lost cause” despite Erdogan’s belligerent tone and support for Hamas over the last two years. Gantz urged that NATO persuade Turkey to align with the West: “I think we should try and influence Turkey to reassess where it wants to be… between the West and the extremists of the Muslim Brotherhood. And I think they should choose the West,” Gantz explained. A recording and transcript of the event can be viewed here.
Evidence to the contrary? Days after Gantz shared this view, Istanbul’s Chief Public Prosecutor’s Office issued an arrest warrant for Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu and 37 other Israeli officials on charges of “genocide.” It is hard to see how the West will court Erdogan to its side as it targets America’s closest ally in the Middle East.
More hostages returned: Israel received the remains of the last American hostage held by Hamas, 19-year-old Itay Chen, on Tuesday. Chen was an American-Israeli soldier killed while defending his country during Hamas’s initial attack on Oct. 7, 2023. The bodies of three other hostages were also released over the weekend, and the remains of deceased Tanzanian hostage Joshua Mollel were returned on Wednesday. Hamas still has the remains of six hostages.

President Donald Trump greets Chinese President Xi Jinping before a bilateral meeting at the Gimhae International Airport terminal, Thursday, October 30, 2025, in Busan, South Korea. (Official White House Photo by Daniel Torok)
3. U.S. officials underscore support for defending America’s lead in the AI race with China amid a temporary trade truce last week and as Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth met with counterparts in Asia.
Support mounts for keeping AI chip controls: Top U.S. officials warned against Trump discussing AI chip exports during last week’s meeting with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, despite Nvidia’s push to sell to the Chinese market. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and other senior advisors relayed to Trump national security concerns if the U.S. approved the export of advanced chips. While Trump did not make concessions on the U.S. chip ban last week, he has signaled a willingness to allow less powerful versions of Nvidia’s technology for Beijing.
Bipartisan support in Congress: Sens. Chris Coons (D-DE) and Tom Cotton (R-AR) led a bipartisan group of lawmakers in supporting American AI dominance on Thursday. Their resolution emphasizes the importance of denying China’s access to advanced chips and prioritizing domestic access to cutting-edge technology. The House Select Committee on China also supports maintaining robust AI chip restrictions, “The U.S. cannot out-innovate China by arming its tech sector with American breakthroughs. Restricting exports of Nvidia’s most advanced AI chips isn’t protectionism, it’s common sense. The CCP uses technology for control, not freedom.“
β Endorsed: Export Controls for Advanced AI Chips (GAIN AI Act) β The Senate FY26 NDAA includes a provision that aims to restrict advanced AI exports to China. The GAIN AI Act establishes new export controls for advanced AI chips to foreign entities and prioritizes domestic access to this critical technology. This is an important provision that should be preserved in the NDAA’s conference process.
Talking defense: Hegseth announced the U.S. and China agreed to establish direct military communications to “deconflict and deescalate any problems that arise,” according to his social media post. Following the Trump-Xi summit, Hegseth had an “equally positive” meeting with his Chinese counterpart in Malaysia, who agreed that “peace, stability, and good relations are the best path for our two great and strong countries.”
Hegseth’s travels around Asia: Hegseth visited several key countries to strengthen defense ties in the region, making several announcements. Hegseth and his Filipino counterpart announced a new joint military command aimed at countering and deterring Beijing’s aggression in the South China Sea. He also announced a U.S.-India 10-year defense cooperation pact, which is reportedly expected to include “co-production of Javelin anti-tank missiles and military team-ups on the Indian Ocean.”
Strengthen U.S.-Vietnam ties: Hegseth also visited Vietnam, highlighting U.S. efforts to maintain relations as Hanoi expands its defense ties with Russia and North Korea. “The Trump administration should accelerate its efforts to implement its newly signed trade agreement with Vietnam, both to prevent Chinese transshipment through the country and to stabilize burgeoning economic ties,” urges FDD’s Jack Burnham. He adds that Washington should conditionally continue prioritizing sales of the F-16 fighter jet and C-130 transport aircraft to Vietnam based on “Hanoi’s willingness to unwind its defense cooperation with Russia and repudiate ties with North Korea” and “prevent Moscow from using Vietnamese firms and co-production facilities to circumvent sanctions.“

Secretary Hegseth conducts a press conference after taking part in a NATO Defense Ministerial Session, NATO Headquarters, Brussels, Feb. 13, 2025. (DoD / U.S. Navy Petty Officer 1st Class Alexander C. Kubitza)
1. The Pentagon is moving forward with plans to overhaul weapons procurement, per a draft memo obtained by Bloomberg News.
Weapons procurement reform: The Pentagon is moving ahead with a major shake-up of its weapon-buying process in an effort to speed up development and attracting more competitive bids for defense contracts. According to the proposed memo, the Pentagon would invest directly in defense companies and offer grants, loans, and other incentives to accelerate production and bring in new competitors beyond the traditional way.
The Details: Each service gets 60 days to present a plan and 180 days to deliver new contracting guidelines with “clear incentives for timely delivery.” The overhaul is meant to eliminate bureaucracy, prioritize speed, and ease certain compliance requirements to move programs forward more quickly.
Making it official: Hegseth unveiled broad plans on Friday to shake up the Pentagon’s approach to Foreign Military Sales in a speech to industry professionals at the National War College. The Pentagon also released a new enterprise procurement strategy and three associated memos to guide this shift shortly after the event. The initiative aligns with Trump’s April executive orders aimed at overhauling U.S. defense export processes and strengthening the industrial base in an effort to make U.S. weapons sales faster, more competitive and accountable.
Good and overdue: “Hegseth is right to prioritize foreign military sales and direct commercial sales. Here’s a quick and easy step to help speed delivery to America’s partners: Reduce the size of the FMS-Only List,” explains FDD’s Bradley Bowman. However, there will be costs to implement these reforms well. Bowman noted, “Maintaining 2 qualified sources will facilitate competition and hopefully speed and positive outcomes — but will be costly. It will be tough to successfully implement all of these reforms with a base defense budget that doesn’t even keep pace with inflation.” Nonetheless, “Sometimes speed of delivery is more important than modest cost savings.”

Exterior of the U.S. Department of State Harry S. Truman Building, Washington, D.C., May 2024. (Official State Department photo by Linda D. Epstein)
2. President Trump took new steps and issued new warnings to address Christian persecution in Nigeria.
“Guns-a-blazing”: Trump expressed outrage at the Nigerian government for reportedly continuing “to allow the killing of Christians.” In a Truth Social post on Saturday, Trump directed the Pentagon to “prepare for possible action,” threatening to go into Nigeria “guns-a-blazing.” Nigeria’s large Christian population faces significant violence, often from radical Islamic terror groups such as Boko Haram.
New designation: The U.S. last Friday designated Nigeria as a “country of particular concern” (CPC), indicating the state violates religious freedom. Nigerian officials deny accusations of religious persecution and affirm their willingness to work with the U.S. to eliminate extremist violence, which affects Christians and Muslims in the region.
By the numbers: The Hudson Institute’s Nina Shea broke down some of the numbers behind Christian persecution in Nigeria in a letter to President Trump here. One Nigerian NGO found that “52,000 Christians have been killed and over 20,000 churches have been attacked and destroyed since 2009 by various Islamist extremist groups in Nigeria.” In Benue, a state in northern Nigeria, “900 Christians have been reported killed to date this year,” including an attack that killed over 200 Christians in June. She also notes that, according to Open Doors, Nigeria is the most deadly country in the world to be a Christian.
As U.S. officials shed light on this issue, FDD launched a new program to address Christian persecution. See their analyses here.
Today, November 7 β
President Trump hosted Hungarian PM Viktor OrbΓ‘n at the White House today, where they discussed trade, energy, and the Ukraine-Russia war. Trump indicated willingness to exempt Hungary from the U.S. sanctions imposed on Russia last month. Hungary gets 86% of its oil from Russia.
Saturday, November 8 β
Deputy Secretary of State Christopher Landau is in Bolivia to attend the inauguration of President-elect Rodrigo Paz. In Bolivia from November 6-9, Landau will meet with Paz and senior Bolivian officials to discuss trade and investment opportunities, people-to-people ties, and regional security cooperation. He will be accompanied by Development Finance Corporation CEO Ben Black, President & Chairman of the Export-Import Bank John Jovanovic, and Counselor to the Secretary of the Treasury Jonathan Greenstein.
Sunday, November 9 β
Senior Official Jeremy Lewin will travel to Jamaica. Responsible for foreign assistance, humanitarian affairs, and religious freedom, Lewin will meet with senior Jamaican government officials, members of the Disaster Assistance Response Team, Department of Defense personnel, and search-and-rescue teams from Los Angeles and Fairfax Counties to discuss ongoing recovery efforts following Hurricane Melissa. He will also visit disaster-affected communities to reaffirm U.S. commitment to our region.
Tuesday, November 11 β Happy Veterans’ Day!
Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa will meet with Trump, marking the first ever visit of a Syrian leader to the White House. Al-Sharaa is expected to sign on to the U.S.-led Global Coalition to Defeat ISIS. This all comes as the White House pushed to repeal the Caesar Act sanctions on Syria, a move that would unblock billions for Syrian reconstruction.
Expert insight β Despite U.S. sanctions relief, minority groups in Syria are still targets of violence from state security forces and allied militias. “The meeting at the White House offers an opportunity to remind Sharaa that Washington lifted sanctions in the expectation that he would treat minorities fairly, marginalize extremists, cooperate in the campaign against ISIS, and resolve tensions with Israel,” explains FDD’s Ahmad Sharawi.
Secretary of State Marco Rubio will attend the G7 foreign ministers meeting, taking place November 11-12 in Canada’s Niagara Region.
Wednesday, November 12 β
Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth will headline the Northeast Indiana Defense Summit, hosted by Sen. Jim Banks (R-IN) at Purdue University in Fort Wayne, Indiana. The summit is described as, “a two-day forum in support of Indiana’s leading role in our National Defense. Speakers and attendees will include policy makers, industry specialists, and economic development leaders” with the goal of bolstering northeast Indiana’s role in the defense industry.
β Endorsed Bill: Condemning Hamas for assassinating innocent Palestinians (H.Res.839) β Introduced by Rep. Josh Gottheimer (D-NJ), this resolution sheds light on Hamas’s campaigns of executions and intimidation against civilians and reaffirms the U.S. commitment to stability and peace in Gaza.
β Endorsed Bill: REPO Implementation Act of 2025 (H.R.5835) β Introduced by Rep. Joe Wilson (R-SC), this bipartisan bill amends the Rebuilding Economic Prosperity and Opportunity (REPO) for Ukrainians Act to improve the seizure of Russian assets to benefit Ukraine’s reconstruction. This measure would help ensure that Russia bears the financial cost of its destruction in Ukraine by jumpstarting the process of transferring assets to Ukraine.
β Endorsed Bill: Designating the Russian Federation as a State Sponsor of Terrorism Act (H.R.5797) β Introduced by Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (R-PA), this bipartisan legislation sheds light on Russia’s criminal abduction and “Russification” of Ukrainian children in Putin’s war to eradicate the Ukrainian identity. Specifically, it requires the Secretary of State to investigate Moscow’s systemic kidnapping and formally designate Russia as a State Sponsor of Terror if said Ukrainian children have not been reunited with their families.
A key national security report is due to Congress next week:
Oversight of Programs and Operations Funded with Amounts Appropriated by the United States for Ukraine Reports: The Special Inspector General shall submit to the appropriate congressional committees a report summarizing activities of the Special Inspector General with respect to programs and operations funded with amounts appropriated by the United States for Ukraine for security, economic, and humanitarian assistance to Ukraine, EUCOM operations, and operations for other relevant USG agencies involved in the Ukraine response. Per Sec. 1250B(d)(1) of H.R. 2670 β NDAA for FY24 (November 14)
Designate the Muslim Brotherhood a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO). Despite presenting itself as a mere political movement, the Muslim Brotherhood and its offshoots have their origins in an extremist ideology, with a long history of supporting terrorism. While many branches of the Brotherhood have supposed policies of non-violence, branches have often embraced violence when advantageous to their political aims. Even those branches that are not outwardly violent have served as breeding grounds for violent offshoots.
A recently published FDD memo, Patient Extremism: The Many Faces of the Muslim Brotherhood, shows how the Brotherhood has spread its extremism and inspired violence around the world. It is a good starting point for determining which branches merit U.S. designation under existing terrorism authorities. This research lays the groundwork for action. Here are some steps policymakers in Washington can take to confront the Brotherhood:
Work with regional partners: To isolate Hamas and stem the flow of money and weapons into Gaza, the U.S. should act in concert with other countries in the region and designate the Muslim Brotherhood as a terrorist organization.
Support the Muslim Brotherhood Terrorist Designation Act: Led by Reps. Mario Diaz-Balart (R-FL) and Jared Moskowitz (D-FL) in the House and Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) in the Senate, this bipartisan legislation encourages the formal designation of the Muslim Brotherhood. FDDA has endorsed this legislation and encourages members of Congress to cosponsor it. If passed, the bill would implement restrictions to prevent Muslim Brotherhood activity in the United States, block its members from entering the U.S., and develop a pathway for designating its affiliates as terror-sponsoring entities. Designating the Brotherhood and its branches as FTOs would enable the U.S. and its allies to more effectively counter the forces of extremism that continue to fuel violence in the Middle East and around the world.
π€ Quotable: The problem is that “the core of the Muslim Brotherhood is linked to terror influence and financing. These entities exploit democratic systems, charitable groups, and foreign funding channels to expand their reach while avoiding accountability,” explains FDD Action’s Alexandria Paolozzi on X. And the solution? “Lawmakers can co-sponsor the bipartisan Muslim Brotherhood Terrorist Designation Act.“
TLDR: FDD Action broke down the memo’s key takeaways for policymakers in a new policy alert. Read about it here.
FDD Founder and President Clifford May also unpacked the Muslim Brotherhood’s origins and why its patient strategy of extremism must be confronted in his column for The Washington Times here.
On Iran
Oil sanction enforcement lacking β Iran’s October Oil Exports Hit 2025 Peak, Reflecting Failure of U.S. Sanctions Enforcement (Saeed Ghasseminejad | FDD Policy Brief | November 5, 2025)
Support roots of rebellion β Iranians Challenge the Regime by Celebrating Cyrus the Great (Janatan Sayeh and Behnam Taleblu | FDD Policy Brief | November 5, 2025)
Hezbollah’s ploy to rearm β Aoun’s Push for Talks with Israel Must Overcome Hezbollah’s Ploys (Hussain Abdul-Hussain | This is Beirut | November 4, 2025)
On Israel
Return and remembrance β Hamas Continues to Return Hostage Remains as Gaza Ceasefire Holds (Seth J. Frantzman | FDD’s Long War Journal | November 6, 2025)
Passing the buck β Gaza “Stabilization Force” Has a Problem: No One Wants to go First (Seth J. Frantzman | National Security Journal | October 31, 2025)
On Russia & Ukraine
New weapon’s impact on Ukraine β Russia Deploys New, Longer-Range Bombs in War Against Ukraine (John Hardie | FDD’s Long War Journal | October 31, 2025)
Battle for cyberspace β The US Must Not Endorse Russia and China’s Vision for Cybersecurity (John Yoo and Ivana Stradner | The Hill | November 5, 2025)
Russia’s Cyber Diplomacy β The Hanoi Convention: Russia’s Blueprint for an Authoritarian Cyberspace (Emily Hester | FDD Policy Brief | November 6, 2025)
On China
Temporary trade truce β Trump and Xi Call Truce for Now, but This ’12 out of 10′ Meeting Leaves a Lot Unanswered (Jack Burnham | New York Post | October 31, 2025)
Nuclear defenses deter β Learning the Right Lessons From ‘A House of Dynamite’ (Bradley Bowman and David Adesnik | Real Clear Defense | November 6, 2025)
Secure U.S. space systems β How the U.S. Can Stay Ahead of China in Space (Jack Burnham and Sophie McDowall | The Cipher Brief | November 3, 2025)
Need for sector-level defenses β Solving for Hidden Huaweis: Sector Level Approaches to Protect the US Connectivity Market (Nathan Picarsic | Force Distance Times | November 5, 2025)
In Other News
PKK leaves Turkey β PKK Announcement of Withdrawal from Turkey has Ramifications for Iraq, Syria (Seth J. Frantzman | FDD’s Long War Journal | November 3, 2025)
Breeding ground for terror groups β Meet the Muslim Brotherhood (Clifford May | The Washington Times | November 6, 2025)
As federal workers face America’s longest government shutdown, the capital’s business and community members are stepping up and giving back. Just note that most require you to bring your government ID.
β Compass Coffee has launched the Fuel the Federal Workplace Fund. Government employees can stop at any Compass Coffee location once a day for a free drink and food item. Compass says this new program is a “simple way to keep Washington going.”
π§βπ³ JosΓ© AndrΓ©s’s DC restaurants are offering free lunch 11:30 a.m. to 3:00 p.m. weekdays. These restaurants across the city include Jaleo (free sandwich), China Chilcano (free donburi), Zaytinya (free durum or pita), and Oyamel (free torta).
π³ IKEA College Park and IKEA Woodbridge are also offering free breakfast to furloughed government employees and contractors.
For more discounts and deals to help get through tough times, check out these guides from WTOP, Washingtonian, Visit Washington DC, NBC4 Washington, and Axios.
π Thanks for sticking with us! Until next week.
P.S. If you liked this and don’t want to wait another week for more, check out FDD Action’s new X account for endorsement updates and timely analysis on breaking national security news.